More users will access the Internet via mobile devices than desktop PCs within five years, according to a Dec. 16 report from Morgan Stanley’s Mary Meeker, one of the analysts who predicted the original Internet boom. “The mobile Internet is ramping faster than desktop Internet did,” according to the report.
Smartphones, e-book readers, connected in-car electronics and wireless home appliances like gaming consoles would sell more than 10 billion units by 2020. That’s ten times more devices than there are desktop PCs, according to the report.
Here’s one interesting observation from the report: Meeker believes that the mobile Internet revolution will produce a new crop of winners, whose ranks won’t include today’s giants. Microsoft, Cisco and Intel benefited from proliferation of PCs. Desktop Internet computing lead to the birth of Google, eBay and Yahoo. Mobile Internet computing winners are yet to be defined, she writes. “It’s notable that, after years in the backwaters of global mobile development, American companies (led by the likes of Apple, Facebook, Amazon.com and Google) are becoming mobile Internet innovation pacesetters,” according to the report

Mobile Internet > PC Web...growth predictions
More users will access the Internet via mobile devices than desktop PCs within five years, according to recent report from Morgan Stanley’s Mary Meeker, she was one of the analysts who predicted the original Internet boom…OK so that wasn’t too hard to do. However, kudos where it’s deserved. She states that “The mobile Internet is ramping faster than desktop Internet did,”
Smartphones, e-book readers, connected in-car electronics and wireless home appliances like gaming consoles would sell more than 10 billion units by 2020. That’s ten times more devices than there are desktop PCs.
Meeker believes that the mobile Internet revolution will produce a new crop of winners, whose ranks won’t include today’s giants. Microsoft, Cisco and Intel who benefited from proliferation of PCs. Desktop Internet computing lead to the birth of Google, eBay, Yahoo and the likes. Mobile Internet computing winners however, are yet to be defined, she writes. “It’s notable that, after years in the backwaters of global mobile development, American companies (led by Apple, Facebook, Amazon.com and Google) are becoming mobile Internet innovation pacesetters,” according to the report.
Some very interesting takes:
“The mobile Internet cycle, the 5th cycle in 50 years, is just starting. Winners in each cycle often create more market capitalization than in the last. New winners emerge, some incumbents survive – or thrive – while many past winners falter.” Woot! Disruptive innovation by way of a new channel will always foster new and exciting developments.
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